Blue Bus (here the case in its original language)
P is run, because of the driver on the road by a blue bus. P can show that the D company operates 80% of all blue buses using the route in which he was hit. What is the effect, if any, of this test? (1)
1. Would you change your analysis if the company will operate 99% D of blue buses running along the route where he was run over P?
2. What is the difference between the degree of certainty that provides DNA testing and evidence presented by P?
Taken and adapted from Green, Nesson & Murray: Evidence
1. This problem is based on Tribe, Trial by Mathematics: Precision and ritual in the judicial process, 84 HARV. L. Rev. 1329, 1341 (1971).
P is run, because of the driver on the road by a blue bus. P can show that the D company operates 80% of all blue buses using the route in which he was hit. What is the effect, if any, of this test? (1)
1. Would you change your analysis if the company will operate 99% D of blue buses running along the route where he was run over P?
2. What is the difference between the degree of certainty that provides DNA testing and evidence presented by P?
Taken and adapted from Green, Nesson & Murray: Evidence
1. This problem is based on Tribe, Trial by Mathematics: Precision and ritual in the judicial process, 84 HARV. L. Rev. 1329, 1341 (1971).
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